Racing Castrelos vs San Martín Villajuan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ADR
1 - 0
CAS
42%
24%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 0
CAS
31%
23%
47%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
VIL
13%
17%
70%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ANT
3 - 3
CAS
79%
14%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 4
CEL
13%
20%
67%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Villajuan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
CUN
60%
21%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
TYD
31%
24%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 3
MAR
51%
22%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |