Racing Castrelos vs SCD Ponte Caldelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+158%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAS
21%
22%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 0
PON
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
ADR
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 2
CUN
50%
22%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SCD Ponte Caldelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 3
CUN
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
PUE
48%
23%
30%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
PUE
43%
23%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 0
MIN
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 2
PUE
64%
21%
16%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |