Racing Castrelos vs Caldas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UMI
2 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 3
PUE
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAS
21%
22%
57%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 0
PON
91%
7%
2%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 0
CUN
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
CAL
50%
23%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
TYD
28%
23%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAL
65%
19%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 3
MIN
23%
22%
55%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |