Racing Castrelos vs Barbadás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
70.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
CAS
72%
17%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
PON
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
POR
3 - 4
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
VER
23%
23%
54%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
5 - 2
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 1
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
BAR
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
PON
74%
17%
9%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ARN
3 - 1
BAR
15%
21%
64%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UMI
2 - 5
BAR
17%
22%
61%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |