Racing Castrelos vs Atlantida Matama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 3
CAS
63%
20%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAL
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UMI
2 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 3
PUE
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAS
21%
22%
57%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atlantida Matama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 3
CUN
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATL
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
TYD
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 4
ATL
30%
23%
48%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 2
MIN
49%
22%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |