Racing Castrelos vs Arcade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+97%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
CAS
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
ATL
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 3
CAS
63%
20%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAL
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UMI
2 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arcade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 0
CUN
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
ARC
30%
24%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 2
TYD
42%
24%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
ARC
33%
24%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 1
MIN
44%
24%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |