Rayo Cantabria vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
13º
11º
39
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 74 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
1º
|
46 | 73 |
2º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 54 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 51 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 43 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 38 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 36 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 29 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 26 |
18º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6.5% | 55.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
18% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Cantabria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 1
RAC
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 0
LAR
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 3
RAC
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 0
UDL
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
RAC
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 1
ESC
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
AVI
55%
26%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 0
UPL
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
AVI
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 1
AVI
56%
25%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |