Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Rayo Cantabria vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Cantabria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
RSO
7 - 0
RAC
89%
8%
3%
|
35 | 83 | 48 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1983 |
RAC
0 - 1
RSO
13%
27%
60%
|
35 | 84 | 49 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
RAC
2 - 1
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1983 |
CAS
1 - 1
RAC
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
RAC
1 - 0
AVI
53%
27%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
LEN
2 - 0
CAS
38%
28%
34%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
ROB
4 - 0
CAS
40%
28%
32%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAU
67%
21%
12%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
CAS
1 - 0
ROB
71%
19%
10%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
SIE
1 - 1
CAS
61%
23%
17%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |