Rabo Peixe vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
11º
11º
37
5º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rabo Peixe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GOU
4 - 1
RAB
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
USA
2 - 1
RAB
50%
24%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RAB
1 - 1
MAR
54%
26%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 0
BEN
46%
27%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 2
CAS
8%
18%
75%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
COI
1 - 1
MOR
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 0
GDF
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UFT
0 - 1
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
FCA
68%
18%
15%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SER
4 - 3
MOR
40%
27%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |