Quixadá vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LIM
3 - 4
QUI
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
FER
4 - 0
QUI
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 3
ITA
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 1
QUI
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
QUI
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
2 - 1
BOV
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 0
HOR
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 0
CRA
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
HOR
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 5
HOR
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |