Quixadá vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 2
CRA
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ICA
3 - 0
QUI
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
QUI
77%
15%
9%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
LIM
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
6 - 1
QUI
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
CEA
20%
25%
56%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIM
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 3
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |