Quixadá vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
QUI
4 - 1
ICA
23%
24%
54%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
QUI
38%
25%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 0
TIR
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 2
QUI
80%
14%
7%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
5 - 2
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
FER
5 - 0
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
FOR
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |