Quixadá vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 3
ITA
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 1
QUI
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
IGU
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
IGU
0 - 0
QUI
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 0
TRA
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
SAM
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
CUI
1 - 1
FOR
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
LUV
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
TRE
2 - 0
FOR
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |