Quixadá vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 1
QUI
47%
23%
29%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
QUI
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 1
CRA
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CEA
4 - 0
QUI
71%
19%
11%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
6 - 0
QUI
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
FOR
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
FER
3 - 2
LIM
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FER
1 - 1
FOR
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |