Quixadá vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 2
QUI
47%
24%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 2
FOR
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 2
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
BOV
2 - 0
QUI
44%
23%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FER
2 - 1
BOV
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
FER
1 - 1
HOR
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 3
FER
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |