Quixadá vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ICA
3 - 0
QUI
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
QUI
77%
15%
9%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
LIM
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
6 - 1
QUI
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 5
TIR
32%
24%
43%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 5
FOR
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 0
ICA
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
CRA
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 3
CRA
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
CRA
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |