Quixadá vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CEA
4 - 0
QUI
71%
19%
11%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
6 - 0
QUI
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 0
QUI
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
LIM
57%
22%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 1
FER
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 4
CEA
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRA
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
CRA
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 1
LIM
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |