Quixadá vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 2
GUA
36%
25%
40%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 2
HOR
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LIM
3 - 4
QUI
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
FER
4 - 0
QUI
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 3
ITA
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
CRA
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
LIM
3 - 2
CEA
13%
20%
68%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
BOV
3 - 2
CEA
15%
21%
65%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FER
1 - 0
CEA
19%
23%
58%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |