Quiroga FC vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quiroga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RSI
0 - 3
QUI
26%
22%
52%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LAJ
1 - 2
QUI
33%
23%
44%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 1
PAR
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
QUI
32%
23%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 1
OUR
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MON
4 - 3
SLU
64%
18%
18%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SLU
5 - 1
RSI
55%
21%
24%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SLU
0 - 0
LAJ
54%
21%
25%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
SLU
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SLU
0 - 1
GAR
30%
23%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |