Quinto vs Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 3
QUI
35%
26%
40%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 0
SAG
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 0
ATL
49%
26%
25%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GIN
1 - 2
QUI
16%
23%
62%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
QUI
0 - 0
BEL
28%
28%
45%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
GIN
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BEL
4 - 0
HER
78%
15%
7%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
AND
28%
22%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HER
0 - 4
ACF
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |