Quinto vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 1
ATC
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
EPI
3 - 0
QUI
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
QUI
2 - 1
ALC
49%
23%
29%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CDC
0 - 1
QUI
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
CFV
0 - 0
QUI
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CDM
2 - 2
EPI
25%
24%
51%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDM
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CDM
0 - 2
CDC
49%
23%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
CDM
61%
23%
17%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
OLV
0 - 1
CDM
16%
23%
61%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |