CD Quintana vs Olympic Peleño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAM
2 - 0
QUI
39%
25%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 2
QUI
24%
22%
55%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
QUI
7 - 0
GIM
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 0
QUI
39%
22%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 2
CAB
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olympic Peleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
OLY
6 - 1
ADV
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 1
OLY
60%
22%
18%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 2
GUA
36%
23%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GIM
3 - 3
OLY
47%
23%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
CDD
23%
22%
55%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |