Quilmes vs Tiro Federal Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
12.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
QUI
2 - 2
GIM
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
RAC
4 - 1
QUI
63%
23%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
QUI
0 - 1
GLP
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
ARG
1 - 2
QUI
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2005 |
QUI
2 - 0
SLO
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
TFE
1 - 2
RAC
23%
27%
51%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
GLP
1 - 1
TFE
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
TFE
1 - 4
ARG
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SLO
5 - 3
TFE
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2005 |
TFE
2 - 1
INS
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |