Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 0
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
OLI
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
SMA
0 - 1
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 3
RAF
44%
28%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GIM
1 - 2
QUI
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
ALD
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
MER
1 - 0
ITA
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 3
BUC
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
BEL
4 - 1
ITA
67%
22%
11%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 2
PLA
28%
27%
46%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |