Quilmes vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
58.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
COL
2 - 1
QUI
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 0
STR
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
QUI
3 - 0
HUR
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CEN
1 - 0
QUI
58%
25%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
UCH
3 - 2
QUI
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 0
RIO
95%
4%
1%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 2
UCH
70%
19%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
PAU
2 - 2
SAO
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2005 |
STR
3 - 3
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 0
COR
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |