Quilmes vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
COL
3 - 3
QUI
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
QUI
0 - 1
OLI
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ARS
0 - 0
QUI
52%
26%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
QUI
1 - 0
BAN
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 1
RIV
18%
22%
60%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SLO
1 - 2
RIV
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
IND
1 - 1
SLO
36%
27%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SLO
0 - 1
NOB
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
SLO
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
SLO
2 - 2
CHI
74%
18%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |