Quilmes vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 0
QUI
41%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
QUI
2 - 0
INS
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 1
BHU
74%
18%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
IRV
1 - 2
QUI
31%
29%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 0
TAL
68%
21%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
BHU
76%
18%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 1
TAL
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ALD
2 - 2
CHI
27%
28%
45%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
0 - 1
ALM
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
PLA
3 - 3
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +2 |