Quilmes vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 2
UNI
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 3
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 1
QUI
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 3
GOD
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 2
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
NOB
0 - 1
MOR
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ATS
2 - 0
NOB
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
NOB
2 - 1
ATT
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TEM
2 - 0
NOB
23%
29%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
NOB
5 - 2
SAN
80%
15%
5%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |