Quilmes vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BOC
2 - 0
QUI
48%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
LAN
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ALB
4 - 0
QUI
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 1
ARS
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TIG
0 - 1
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
NOB
2 - 0
ARG
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 1
NOB
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NOB
2 - 1
OLI
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
VEL
3 - 0
NOB
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NOB
1 - 1
EST
51%
27%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |