Quilmes vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 1
QUI
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2006 |
QUI
0 - 3
VEL
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 1
QUI
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
QUI
0 - 0
GOD
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
GLP
3 - 2
QUI
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
NOB
2 - 2
ARS
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ARG
0 - 0
NOB
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
NOB
0 - 0
RAC
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
NOB
0 - 1
LAN
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 3
NOB
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |