Quilmes vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
QUI
1 - 1
CAU
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
IND
2 - 0
QUI
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
GLP
1 - 2
QUI
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
QUI
0 - 0
VEL
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1979 |
MIL
1 - 0
QUI
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
CAL
2 - 0
MIL
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1979 |
MIL
1 - 0
QUI
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1979 |
MIL
3 - 3
IND
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1979 |
MIL
1 - 1
CAL
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ALI
2 - 1
MIL
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |