Quilmes vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ARG
0 - 1
QUI
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 0
BAN
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
QUI
2 - 2
SAO
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
COL
2 - 1
QUI
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 0
STR
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
INS
4 - 3
NOB
20%
26%
55%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2005 |
BAN
1 - 0
INS
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 1
INS
67%
22%
11%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
INS
0 - 3
EST
30%
30%
41%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
RIV
3 - 1
INS
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |