Quilmes vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
TAL
2 - 1
QUI
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
QUI
0 - 4
ALD
60%
24%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ALM
2 - 1
QUI
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
QUI
1 - 1
PLA
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
TFE
1 - 1
QUI
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
IRV
1 - 1
BHU
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
INS
2 - 1
IRV
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
TAL
1 - 3
IRV
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
IRV
3 - 2
ALD
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
FER
1 - 1
IRV
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |