Quilmes vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GIM
0 - 0
QUI
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 2
DEF
70%
21%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
ARS
4 - 1
QUI
56%
24%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
QUI
0 - 1
AGR
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DAL
1 - 1
QUI
38%
29%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
RSA
0 - 0
IRV
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 0
RSA
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
RSA
2 - 0
CHA
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MIT
2 - 2
RSA
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
RSA
0 - 1
TEM
32%
29%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |