Quilmes vs Dep. Maipú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 1
QUI
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
BOC
3 - 2
QUI
73%
18%
8%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
ALM
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
3 - 0
QUI
23%
27%
50%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
EST
49%
28%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Maipú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MAI
1 - 0
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAI
46%
29%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
MAI
0 - 1
ALV
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
EST
0 - 1
MAI
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MAI
2 - 2
DEP
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |