Quilmes vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
INS
0 - 1
QUI
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 0
ITA
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 0
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
OLI
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
SMA
0 - 1
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DYJ
1 - 4
ALD
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
MER
2 - 1
DYJ
27%
30%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DYJ
3 - 1
BUC
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 0
DYJ
52%
27%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
DYJ
1 - 1
PLA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |