Quilmes vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CHI
0 - 0
QUI
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
QUI
0 - 0
SMA
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
INS
2 - 0
QUI
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
BHU
2 - 1
QUI
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
QUI
3 - 2
IRV
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
DYJ
1 - 0
BHU
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
IRV
0 - 0
DYJ
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
DYJ
0 - 1
TAL
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
ALD
3 - 2
DYJ
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
DYJ
3 - 2
ALM
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |