Quilmes vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
SLO
0 - 0
QUI
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
HUR
0 - 1
QUI
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
QUI
0 - 0
CEN
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
VEL
4 - 0
QUI
63%
22%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
QUI
0 - 2
SLO
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
COL
0 - 0
NOB
47%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
ARS
0 - 0
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
COL
1 - 1
EST
57%
25%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
RIV
3 - 2
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
COL
1 - 2
CHA
59%
23%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |