Quilmes vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
OLI
0 - 1
QUI
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
QUI
2 - 1
ARS
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
BAN
2 - 1
QUI
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
RIV
2 - 2
QUI
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
QUI
1 - 1
IND
26%
27%
48%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
COL
1 - 2
RIV
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 1
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
IND
1 - 2
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
NOB
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
EST
1 - 1
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |