Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
3 - 1
QUI
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
QUI
0 - 0
GIM
52%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
STM
3 - 2
QUI
19%
27%
53%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 0
CFE
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SMA
2 - 1
QUI
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Club Atlético Güemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CAG
2 - 1
MAI
42%
30%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 2
CAG
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
CAG
1 - 2
ALM
37%
30%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 1
CAG
43%
30%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
CAG
2 - 0
EST
35%
31%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |