Quilmes vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
38%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
QUI
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
RAF
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 1
QUI
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 2
NOB
33%
28%
40%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BOC
2 - 0
QUI
48%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 0
VEL
36%
28%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 0
ARG
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 1
VEL
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 2
OLI
59%
24%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
GLP
2 - 1
VEL
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |