Quilmes vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
RIV
41%
30%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GLP
3 - 2
QUI
44%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ARG
1 - 1
QUI
38%
28%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
RAC
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 1
QUI
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
CEN
47%
28%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
CEN
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ARG
1 - 2
CEN
36%
29%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 1
RAC
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 0
CEN
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |