Quilmes vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
29.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GLP
3 - 2
QUI
44%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ARG
1 - 1
QUI
38%
28%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
RAC
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 1
QUI
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
VEL
33%
29%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 0
ARG
56%
25%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 0
RIV
36%
30%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 3
OLI
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 3
LAN
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |