Quilmes vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
47%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
GLP
3 - 0
QUI
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BAN
3 - 1
QUI
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 1
RAC
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
QUI
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
VEL
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 2
BAN
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 0
BOC
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 0
RIV
31%
28%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |