Quilmes vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
TFE
1 - 1
QUI
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
GIM
2 - 1
QUI
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
QUI
0 - 3
RAC
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
GLP
4 - 0
QUI
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
QUI
2 - 1
ARG
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 2
LIB
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 2
RAC
71%
17%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
COR
1 - 3
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
GLP
3 - 3
RIV
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 2
COR
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |