Quilmes vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 1
RIV
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
GLP
3 - 0
QUI
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BAN
3 - 1
QUI
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 1
RAC
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
QUI
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
NOB
0 - 0
LAN
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 2
BOC
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 0
GLP
56%
26%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
IND
4 - 1
LAN
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
TIG
3 - 0
LAN
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |