Quilmes vs Banfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
41%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 2
VEL
29%
28%
42%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
NOB
1 - 1
QUI
64%
23%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 1
ARS
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 1
QUI
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 2
ARG
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
BAN
0 - 0
NOB
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 0
BAN
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
ARS
1 - 0
BAN
38%
29%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 2
RIV
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 0
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |