Quilmes vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
QUI
0 - 0
BEL
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
DFR
0 - 1
QUI
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
QUI
2 - 1
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
CAA
1 - 3
QUI
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
QUI
5 - 1
GIM
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
SMA
2 - 3
RAF
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
INS
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
ALM
1 - 1
RAF
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
RAF
0 - 0
ARG
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
SMA
0 - 0
RAF
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |