Quilmes vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
29.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
QUI
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 2
RIV
23%
25%
53%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
INS
0 - 2
QUI
28%
29%
43%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2004 |
QUI
1 - 0
ARG
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 0
QUI
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOB
40%
27%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
0 - 0
RAC
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
RIV
0 - 0
ARS
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
EST
0 - 0
ARS
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 2
RIV
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |