Quilmes vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
19.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
DYJ
1 - 1
QUI
37%
29%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 3
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 0
QUI
41%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
QUI
2 - 0
INS
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 1
BHU
74%
18%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 0
BHU
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
IRV
1 - 2
ALM
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ALM
4 - 0
TAL
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ALD
1 - 0
ALM
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALM
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |